Independent Investor/@theMarket http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick? Independent Investor/@theMarket Sun, 14 Feb 2016 03:13:54 EST en-us @theMarket: Stocks at Bottom of Trading Range http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3111 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3111 Sat, 06 Feb 2016 08:29:00 EST This week was a little more promising. At least it was better than going down almost every day, as we did last month. Is this a pause or can we expect something more? Something more is my bet, but whether it is up or down largely depends on the direction of oil. I did notice, however, that... The Independent Investor: Is a Recession Looming? http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3107 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3107 Thu, 04 Feb 2016 15:22:00 EST The funny thing about declining stock markets is that when they last more than a couple of weeks, talk of recession starts to percolate among investors. It is no different this time.   I have written before that the stock market has erroneously called six of the last 13 declines as... The Independent Investor: The High Price of Cash http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3100 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3100 Thu, 28 Jan 2016 14:36:00 EST Since the beginning of January, many investors have sold their holdings in the stock market and are sitting on the sidelines in cash. Is it too late to sell, or would selling out be a wise move? Well over $7 billion was sold from U.S. stock funds thus far in January. In December, $48... @theMarket: Stocks Rebound http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3099 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3099 Fri, 22 Jan 2016 14:31:00 EST It had to happen at some point. The averages declined almost every day for three weeks in a row, so a relief rally should be expected. The question is will it continue? Unfortunately, that depends on the price level of oil. The bounce in stock prices that began on Wednesday was directly... The Independent Investor: This Too Shall Pass http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3089 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3089 Fri, 15 Jan 2016 13:17:00 EST The markets have gone straight down for almost two weeks. The media is becoming more and more pessimistic as the averages plummet. Doom and gloom permeates the investor population. This usually means that opportunity is just around the corner. In my own world, the telephone has been ringing... The Independent Investor: A Tale of Two Chinas http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3082 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3082 Thu, 07 Jan 2016 17:40:00 EST For years, investors bought into the China story. Growth rates twice as fast as the rest of the world, fueled by sky-rocketing exports made competitive by billions of hard-working, low-wage employees grateful to have a job. What happened? Times have changed. Back in the late 1970s when... @theMarket: Nowhere Land http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3079 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3079 Fri, 01 Jan 2016 15:32:00 EST Most of the stock market went nowhere this year. With the exception of the NASDAQ, the rest of the market returned investors less than the average yield of a yearly CD. It was a disappointing year, to put it mildly. Recall the months of tension as the markets gyrated between up 3 percent... @theMarket: Santa Comes to Town http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3076 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3076 Fri, 25 Dec 2015 14:02:00 EST He certainly took his own sweet time getting here. Investors had just about giving up hope that the traditional Santa Claus Rally would occur this year. But despite gyrating energy prices, worries over the economy and the looming next earnings season, stocks are on the upswing. Of course, I... The Independent Investor: Christmas in the New Age http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3075 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3075 Thu, 24 Dec 2015 15:55:00 EST Back in the day, going home for Christmas was what you did. Family members and friends would make their yearly pilgrimage to the old homestead. Car, plane or train, it made little difference how long it took, because everyone wanted to be home for the holidays. But times are changing. Ever... The Independent Investor: How Rising Interest Rates Will Change Your Life http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3077 http://www.iberkshires.com/blogs/Bill_Schmick?bid=3077 Thu, 17 Dec 2015 19:11:00 EST It's official: Wednesday afternoon the Federal Reserve bank hiked the short-term interest rate, called the Fed Funds rate, for the first time in 9 1/2 years. It is the beginning of a new financial era for all of us and it behooves you to understand its implications. Let me first assuage...