Saturday, May 30, 2015 02:40pm
North Adams, MA now: 84 °   
Send news, tips, press releases and questions to info@iBerkshires.com
The Berkshires online guide to events, news and Berkshire County community information.
LOG IN | REGISTER NOW   

Home About Archives RSS Feed
@theMarket: Markets Turn Positive for the Year
By Bill Schmick On: 03:58PM / Saturday March 01, 2014
Important
0
Interesting
0
Funny
0
Awesome
0
Infuriating
0
Ridiculous
0

It is official. We made a new high this week and the markets appeared to be in "melt-up" mode. So why is everyone cautious?

After almost two months of consolidation, the equity markets broke out once again, spurred by the knowledge that if the economy falters, the Fed remains ready to reverse course.

Yet, by Friday afternoon, the bears were fighting hard to ruin the party.

It was no accident, in my opinion, that Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen's testimony before a Senate panel on Thursday was followed by a record-breaking gain in the S&P 500 Index. But by Friday afternoon, the benchmark index was barely holding its gains. True, not all the indexes have reached new highs. Dow Theorists won't feel comfortable until both the industrials and the transports also break out and confirm the gains in the other indexes.

Yellen, in her testimony, said that the central bank was studying the economic data closely. She said, "a number of data releases have pointed to softer spending than many analysts had expected. Part of that softness may reflect adverse weather conditions, but at this point, it's difficult to discern exactly how much. In the weeks and months ahead, my colleagues and I will be attentive to signals that indicate whether the recovery is progressing in line with our earlier expectations."

This is a departure from her upbeat comments over the last few weeks when she appeared more positive over the future prospects of the economy. So why did the markets go up? I believe investors assume that if the economy were to slow further, the Fed would reverse its recent tapering and some argue that the Fed might even inject more stimulus into the economy.

Readers may recall that I have been expecting to see a spate of disappointing numbers in the weeks ahead as the country continues to suffer from the impact of the Polar Vortex. Today's GDP data, for example, indicated the economy in the fourth quarter dropped to 2.4 percent versus 4.1 percent reported in the third quarter. Lower exports and consumer spending were the main culprits in the sluggish number.

My own belief is that once the country thaws out from this winter's deep freeze, activity will once again spurt higher. However, between now and then, the stock market may get spooked by fears that the economy is rolling over.

As for events overseas, specifically in the Ukraine, the markets have been able to absorb events without too much difficulty. Naturally, when tensions rise between Mother Russia and the U.S., one must pay attention to events. Vladimir Putin seems bound and determined to escalate the situation further but hopefully cooler heads will prevail.

There has been so much talk this week on whether the market is "topping" out that I have my doubts. I would stick with the game plan and remain invested. The worst that could happen is that we have another mild pullback and we fall back into a trading range.

Bill Schmick is registered as an investment adviser representative with Berkshire Money Management. Bill’s forecasts and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of BMM or a solicitation to become a client of BMM. Direct inquires to Bill at 1-888-232-6072 (toll free) or email him at Bill@afewdollarsmore.com.



0 Comments
     
News Headlines
Berkshires Weighs In On New Earned Sick Time Law
Warren: Grit, Determination Will Get BCC Graduates to Next Goal
Northern Berkshire United Way Drive Hits Half-Million Mark
BHS, Medicaid Insurers Set Enrollment Fairs
iBerkshire Tag Sales: May 29-30
St. Stan's Pupils Learning How Gardens Grow
United Independent Party Director Launches Bid For Pittsfield Council
NYC Teens Find Connection With Norman Rockwell
Williamstown Town Manager Finalists Named
Adams Community Bank Celebrates Staff

Bill Schmick is registered as an investment advisor representative and portfolio manager with Berkshire Money Management (BMM), managing over $200 million for investors in the Berkshires. Bill’s forecasts and opinions are purely his own and do not necessarily represent the views of BMM. None of his commentary is or should be considered investment advice. Anyone seeking individualized investment advice should contact a qualified investment adviser. None of the information presented in this article is intended to be and should not be construed as an endorsement of BMM or a solicitation to become a client of BMM. The reader should not assume that any strategies, or specific investments discussed are employed, bought, sold or held by BMM. Direct your inquiries to Bill at 1-888-232-6072 (toll free) or email him at Bill@afewdollarsmore.com Visit www.afewdollarsmore.com for more of Bill’s insights.

 

 

 



Categories:
@theMarket (169)
Independent Investor (230)
Archives:
May 2015 (6)
May 2014 (1)
April 2015 (8)
March 2015 (6)
February 2015 (7)
January 2015 (9)
December 2014 (7)
November 2014 (4)
October 2014 (9)
September 2014 (5)
August 2014 (7)
July 2014 (2)
June 2014 (6)
Tags:
Japan Rally Retirement Jobs Markets Federal Reserve Currency Banks Congress Bailout Euro Greece Selloff Recession Fiscal Cliff Crisis Commodities Taxes Stimulus Deficit Housing Interest Rates Economy Europe Pullback Stocks Oil Election Metals Debt Europe Energy Debt Ceiling Stock Market Fed
Popular Entries:
The Independent Investor: Don't Fight the Fed
The Independent Investor: Understanding the Foreclosure Scandal
@theMarket: QE II Supports the Markets
The Independent Investor: Does Cash Mean Currencies?
@theMarket: Markets Are Going Higher
The Independent Investor: General Motors — Back to the Future
The Independent Investor: Will the Municipal Bond Massacre Continue?
@theMarket: Economy Sputters, Stocks Stutter
The Independent Investor: Why Are Interest Rates Rising?
The Independent Investor: How Will Wall Street II Play on Main Street?
Recent Entries:
The Independent Investor: Man's Most Expensive Friend
@theMarket: June Is Off the Table
The Independent Investor: Will Memorial Day Kick Off a Strong Summer?
@theMarket: Another Record High
The Independent Investor: Millennials & Money
The Independent Investor: Avian Flu Scrambles the Egg Business
The Independent Investor: Does Another Trade Pact Make Sense?
@theMarket: Buy on the News
The Independent Investor: Should You Manage That 401(k)?
@theMarket: Right Back Into the Range


BCC Commencement 2015
U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren gave the keynote speech at...
North Berkshire Relay for...
The 10th annual Northern Berkshire Relay for Life was held...
Lacrosse: Hoosac at Wahconah
The Wahconah boy's lacrosse team earned its 10th win of the...
Lacrosse: Monument at Taconic
It was a fourth quarter timeout called by the Monument...
St. Joseph Prom 2015
St. Joseph Central High School held their 2015 Prom at the...
Third Thursday May 2015
Pittsfield's monthly summer street festival, 3rd Thursday,...
Girls Inc. Awards 2015
Girls Inc. honored scholarship recipients at the annual...
Williamstown Memorial Day...
Williamstown marked Memorial Day with a parade on Main...
Cheshire Memorial Day 2015
Cheshire residents, veterans, and special guests follow the...
Adams Memorial Day 2015
Adams observed Memorial Day with a parade and a ceremony at...
North Adams Memorial Day 2015
Residents, veterans, and guests met at the Veterans...
Clarksburg Memorial Day 2015
Clarksburg held Memorial Day observances at Town Hall with...
Pittsfield Memorial Day 2015
Pittsfield celebrated Memorial Day on Monday with a parade...
Wahconah High Prom 2015
Wahconah Regional High School held its 2015 Prom at the...
Lacrosse: Wahconah at Taconic
Wahconah won over Taconic 13-3 Friday afternoon.
Lanesborough Memorial Day...
Lanesborough celebrated Memorial Day Sunday with a parade...
BCC Commencement 2015
U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren gave the keynote speech at...
North Berkshire Relay for...
The 10th annual Northern Berkshire Relay for Life was held...
Lacrosse: Hoosac at Wahconah
The Wahconah boy's lacrosse team earned its 10th win of the...
Lacrosse: Monument at Taconic
It was a fourth quarter timeout called by the Monument...
St. Joseph Prom 2015
St. Joseph Central High School held their 2015 Prom at the...
| Home | A & E | Business | Community News | Dining | Real Estate | Schools | Sports & Outdoors | Berkshires Weather | Weddings |
Advertise | Recommend This Page | Help Contact Us
iBerkshires.com is owned and operated by: Boxcar Media 102 Main Street, North Adams, MA 01247 -- T. 413-663-3384 F.413-664-4251
© 2012 Boxcar Media LLC - All rights reserved

Privacy Policy| User Agreement