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The Independent Investor: Long-Term Care Insurance Can Be Crucial to Your Future

By Bill SchmickiBerkshires Columnist

It is a subject that most Baby Boomers want to ignore. Many of us are gambling on the hope that we won't need long-term care, or if we do, our medical insurance, Medicare, or, at worst, Medicaid will cover the cost. Think again.

In last week's column I outlined what long-term care insurance is all about and why you might want to consider purchasing some insurance against the possibility of avoiding economic disaster at an advanced age. Assuming you might be interested in this prospect, let's examine some of the ways and questions you need to ask in your search.

First, realize that long-term care insurance is complex. The insurance covers "assisted daily living activities" such as bathing, dressing, eating, transferring (to bed, chair and back again) housework, managing money, shopping and communicating with others. It can be expensive. If you live in the Northeast, for example, you can pay as much as $5,000 to $8,000 per year.

That's too much, you might say, but the alternative to paying $5,000 a year for insurance may be paying $5,000 per month or more. Nursing homes can go as high as $10,000 a month. At those rates, you could easily go through all your assets in a space of 2-3 years. Normally this kind of insurance is quoted by the day. For example, one company may provide a maximum daily benefit of $150 a day. They also limit the time and amount of coverage. In this hypothetical case, the maximum benefit pool would be $219,000 and the maximum period of coverage is four years.

Now here's the risk: you may need more than four years of care or the cost of the coverage per day could exceed $150 a day. In either case, if you exceed either the time or amount, you won't have any more coverage and must bear the additional expense on his own. What's worse, if you die or simply don't need the care, you lose the amount invested. There is no death benefit or refund policy.

Given the complexity, as well as the substantial amount of money involved in this area, there is a lot of competition among insurance carriers for your dollars. As you know, whenever the financial community is involved in selling you something, the rule should be buyer beware.

There is a wide array of services provided (with tons of fine print exceptions that you might miss). Insurance premiums charged by these companies can vary by as much as 50 percent for the same services. Remember too, that the insurance business has no federal oversite or safety nets. As such, you have to be careful when choosing what company to do business with. If your insurance carrier goes bankrupt, there is no insurance (such as the FDIC) to make you whole again.

My advice is to hire a reputable financial professional who understands your personal situation and can assist you in evaluating your options. Today, there are myriad "hybrid" options to traditional long-term care insurance. Everything from life insurance with a long-term care rider to fixed annuities is available, depending on what makes the most sense in your particular case. If, on the other hand, you want to go it alone, here are some basic questions to ask in your pursuit of coverage:

  • How much is the daily benefit and how long is the benefit coverage?
  • What is the trigger for benefits and how long is the waiting period before benefits begin?
  • What services are included and what are excluded?
  • How will benefits increase over time to keep abreast of rising medical costs?
  • Will my premiums increase over time, and if so, by how much?

Bill Schmick is registered as an investment adviser representative with Berkshire Money Management. Bill’s forecasts and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of BMM or a solicitation to become a client of BMM. Direct inquires to Bill at 1-888-232-6072 (toll free) or email him at Bill@afewdollarsmore.com.

     

@theMarket: Economy Stronger, Stocks Weaker

By Bill SchmickiBerkshires Columnist

Investors can expect the stock market to carve out a new trading range over the next few weeks. The good news is that range will be higher than it has been all year. The bad news is that we should not expect a repeat performance of March.

March was a good month for the S&P 500 Index. Stocks gained about 3 percent, and as of today, are positive for the year. Friday, investors worked overtime as they digested a slew of data.

The day kicked off with employment data which was good: 215,000 jobs gained, while hourly wages increased by 7 cents an hour. And more Americans are looking for jobs.

The bad news was that we are still losing jobs in the manufacturing sectors, since just about all the gains were in the service economy.

Beyond that, we received more data on everything from construction spending, the PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) to domestic vehicle sales and plenty more. I won't bore you with the details. All you need know is that in total the data revealed an economy that was plugging along at a roughly 2 percent plus rate or slightly better.

In the past, I've warned readers not to hang their hat on any one economic data point.

While economists might be cheered or disappointed by one month's group of statistics, the facts are that all these numbers are revised more than once (up or down) in the weeks and months ahead. What stock market investors need to know is if any of these data points would make the Fed hike rates sooner than expected.

The answer is no. The Fed is on hold in their plans to raise short term interest rates until the economy gives definite signals that we are growing faster than the present rate. We are not.

The Fed's brief is both keeping inflation in check and insuring a healthy labor market. Given moderate growth and employment gains it appears to the Fed that the country is in a sweet spot.

As such, the dollar will continue to remain in a trading range, as will bonds, and to some extent, the stock market. Here's the thing: nothing has changed as far as the well-being of the U.S. economy over the last quarter. It is why I did not advise anyone to bail out of stocks in January or February. Just because the market was having a hissy fit at the beginning of the year, it is no reason that you should have one, too.

You might ask, why then was the stock market down on Friday in the face of good or at least in-line data points? Look to oil for a reason. Word from Saudi Arabia's oil minister this week is that the production freeze by them and others will depend on whether or not their arch-enemy Iran also agrees to a freeze.

That stance is understandable given that both countries are at loggerheads in the Middle East. At the same time, both parties know that sanctions have just been lifted on Iran's oil production by most importers of oil. That country is only now trying to make up for years of lost production and won't tolerate a freeze on that effort. As a result, oil dropped almost 4 percent on Friday.    

As I have written before, the stock market is still held hostage to the oil price. The OPEC meeting is supposed to happen this month and it is natural that investor anxiety will heighten as all parties to the negotiations stake out their opening positions. That will make for a lot of ups and downs in the oil price and will have a subsequent impact on stocks.

It is why I believe that this month we won't see much progress in financial markets. After that, we will enter the presidential convention period. That too may keep a lid on equities into the spring.

Bill Schmick is registered as an investment adviser representative with Berkshire Money Management. Bill’s forecasts and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of BMM or a solicitation to become a client of BMM. Direct inquires to Bill at 1-888-232-6072 (toll free) or email him at Bill@afewdollarsmore.com.

     
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